Cheltenham 2017 – Beat The Bookies

beat-the-bookies-banner-cheltenham

Tote Ireland are offering customers Best Odds Guaranteed for each of their daily Cheltenham horse racing markets. If the starting price (SP) returns higher than the Tote dividend that you receive, Tote Ireland will pay you the bigger price. So take advantage of Tote’s best odds guarantee.

A look at the results over the past three festivals show that customers who bet with Tote would have shown a level stakes profit of €100.79 and, if punters had taken advantage of our Best Price Guarantee over the same period, they would have been a MASSIVE €140.87 better off for every Euro spent!

For those not familiar with Tote betting, when you bet with Tote Ireland you are not betting against a bookmaker. Your stake goes into a pool and how much you win depends on how many other winning tickets there are, just like the lottery. You don’t get fixed odds like you do with a bookmaker but betting with Tote Ireland often pays much more.

Let’s start with the Tote Placepot, one of the most popular bets at Cheltenham. You don’t even have to pick a winner here; all you have to do is select a horse to be placed in each of the first six races to share in the Placepot dividend:

During the last three Cheltenham Festivals there have been 72 races that made up the Placepot and, of these races; a whopping 56 times (78%) has seen either the favourite or 2nd-favourite placed. The average pay-out on the Placepot during this time was €4,092.

tote-cheltenham-best-price-history

The largest pay-out during this time was Friday March 14th 2015 when 21.20 lucky winners each scooped €44,616. Not a bad return just for having all of your selections placed! The Placepot pool is also, consistently, the largest of the multi-leg pools during Cheltenham with an average pool, each day, of well over €1.2m for the last number of years and during that time the pool has NEVER had less than €1m in it.

Better Than SP

For those who prefer to take on the favourite and back something at a longer price, Tote Ireland has consistently paid better than the bookmakers SP on these winners. Taking some of the results, again from the last three years, shows where the value really lies for punters:

Tote Dividend And SP.png

 

Trainers, Horses & Jockeys To Follow

With this in mind let’s have a look at some of the trainers, jockeys and horses that should be profitable to follow during the 2017 Festival:

Nicky Henderson: Although recent years have seen Willie Mullins head the ‘Top Trainer’ table at the Festival, Nicky Henderson is the top Cheltenham Festival winning trainer still racing horses with 55 winners in a long and illustrious career. He heads into this year’s festival with one of the bankers of the meeting in Altior (Arkle Chase) and his Juveniles (Charli Parcs & Defi Du Seuil) will also have strong chances. Throw in Yanworth, Brain Power & Buveur D’Air in the Champion Hurdle – Whisper in the JLT along Josses Hill in the Ryanair and 2017 could see Henderson revisit the halcyon days of numerous Festival winners.

Willie Mullins: The Master of Closutton has proved the Master of Prestbury Park since 2013 and will again be hot favourite to top the table after the four days of this year’s Festival. Names like Melon, Vroum Vroum Mag, Un De Sceaux & Yorkhill will have punters salivating. But the back-up brigade is no less fearsome – Bellshill, Limini, Shaneshill, Airlie Beach & Djakadam all bolster a massive battalion heading across the water.

David Mullins: Burst into prominence when riding Nichols Canyon to inflict Faugheen’s 1st-ever defeat in the Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown and followed up by riding Rule The World in the most valuable race of the jumps calendar, the 2016 Grand National at only his first attempt. He has quickly established himself as one of the most polished riders of his generation and will have a host of rides for Gigginstown, Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins. Set to make a big splash – he’s a name that we’re going to be hearing about for many years to come.

Brain Power: The Champion Hurdle looks wide open this year with Annie Power & Faugheen already ruled out. With such a wide open look it may pay to side with a horse that has improved massively this year – that horse is Brain Power. Well beaten on his reappearance, he turned out again three weeks later to take a listed hurdle at Sandown very easily. He followed that up by destroying a high-class field in the Grade 3 Wessex Hurdle at Ascot (under David Mullins) and looks ready to step up again into Grade 1 company.

Don Poli: The Gold Cup now looks wide open following the defection of Thistlecrack. One horse that could be massively overpriced (currently around 25/1) however is Don Poli in the Gold Cup. Few will forget how he forged up the famous hill under Mikey Fogarty to win the Martin Pipe in 2014. He followed up the very next year when dismantling the RSA field – again back at the Festival. He finished third behind Don Cossack in last year’s renewal and seems to have been revitalised with a switch from Willie Mullins to Gordon Elliot. He ran very well again in the Irish Gold Cup behind Sizing John and, for a horse that relishes the distance and absolutely relishes the hill, I dare say there are far worse investments to be made in the coming weeks.

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